Trellison Institute
Causality Chain · Audit Detail

Mexico Maquiladora Program

maquiladora_border_industrialization · order-3 · AP HuG subtopic 7.3 · status rated

B
Composite 10.00 / confidence high
Grade B: 3 sources, source_quality_avg=5.00, corroboration=1, claim_strength=2, geo_specific=1, counter_evidence_handled=no.

The historical event

Mexico Maquiladora Program · 1965 · Mexico-US border (Ciudad Juárez, Tijuana, Reynosa)

1965 Border Industrialization Program → 3,000+ factories employing 1.3M by 2000; pulled ~10M internal migrants to Mexican border cities 1970-2000.

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Causal trigger + effect

Trigger

Card(s): outsourcing_wave
Conditions: {'requires_held_card': 'shared_language'}
Threshold:

Effect

Type: pop_pressure_delta
Payload: {'delta': 2, 'target_segment': 'border_migrants'}
Target: self
Delay turns: 3

Methodology subscores

DimensionScore
Source quality (avg)5.0
Corroboration (independent sources)1
Causal-claim strength2
Counter-evidence handling0
Geographic specificity1
Temporal scope1

Primary sources (3)

Cravey, A., 'Women and Work in Mexico's Maquiladoras', Rowman & Littlefield 1998
Type: peer_reviewed · Year: 1998 · Geography: Mexico border
Ethnographic + economic geography; documented female labor migration + factory conditions.
Sklair, L., 'Assembling for Development: The Maquila Industry in Mexico and the United States', Routledge 1993
Type: peer_reviewed · Year: 1993 · Geography: Mexico + US
Comprehensive industry analysis; trans-border development theory framing.
Wilson, P., 'Exports and Local Development: Mexico's New Maquiladoras', U Texas Press 1992
Type: peer_reviewed · Year: 1992 · Geography: Mexico
Quantitative analysis of regional development effects; mixed welfare findings.

Counter-evidence (0)

No counter-evidence noted. Trellison reserves the right to escalate this chain to "needs counter-evidence review" if challenges emerge.

Audit metadata

Audit ID: dfdf33f9b9e74395ae2d05680563fad7
Audit date: 2026-05-14T05:54:38.688424+00:00
Protocol version: v1.0
Rater: claude_sprint2_auto
Corroborating independent count: 1

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