Causality Chain · Audit Detail
Partition of India 1947
partition_of_india_refugee_cascade · order-2 · AP HuG subtopic 4.10 · status rated
A
Composite 11.00 / confidence high
Grade A: 3 sources, source_quality_avg=5.00, corroboration=1, claim_strength=3, geo_specific=1, counter_evidence_handled=no.
The historical event
Partition of India 1947 · 1947 · British India → India + Pakistan
14M displaced + ~1M killed in religious-ethnic redistricting; canonical irredentism→partition→refugee-camp pattern.
📚
Causal trigger + effect
Trigger
Card(s):
irredentismConditions:
{'requires_held_card': 'religious_schism'}Threshold:
—Effect
Type:
spawn_event_card_in_all_handsPayload:
{'card_id': 'refugee_camp', 'card_type': 'event'}Target: self_and_nearest_neighbor
Delay turns: 1
Methodology subscores
| Dimension | Score |
|---|---|
| Source quality (avg) | 5.0 |
| Corroboration (independent sources) | 1 |
| Causal-claim strength | 3 |
| Counter-evidence handling | 0 |
| Geographic specificity | 1 |
| Temporal scope | 1 |
Primary sources (3)
Khan, Y., 'The Great Partition: The Making of India and Pakistan', Yale UP 2007
Type:
peer_reviewed · Year: 2007 · Geography: India + PakistanComprehensive history of Partition; quantified displacement at 14M+.
Pandey, G., 'Remembering Partition: Violence, Nationalism and History in India', Cambridge UP 2001
Type:
peer_reviewed · Year: 2001 · Geography: India + PakistanMemory studies + nationalism analysis; refugee camp aftermath.
Talbot, I. & Singha, G., 'The Partition of India', Cambridge UP 2009
Type:
peer_reviewed · Year: 2009 · Geography: India + PakistanSynthesis textbook; documented Mountbatten Plan + boundary commission decisions.
Counter-evidence (0)
No counter-evidence noted. Trellison reserves the right to escalate this chain to "needs counter-evidence review" if challenges emerge.
Audit metadata
Audit ID:
5019dd67b4d145a183a940a597768e66Audit date: 2026-05-14T05:55:28.322690+00:00
Protocol version:
v1.0Rater: claude_sprint2_auto
Corroborating independent count: 1